1 More Day šŸ“†

XRP vs. SEC to SCOTUS?, Satoshi quotes, spreading DeFi, and big accumulations of BTC

OVERVIEW

1 More Day šŸ˜±

One more day until the halving, and it feels like crypto got its first strong green day in a while. Will it continue? Letā€™s see what the halving does. šŸ‘€

In todayā€™s Litepaper, in honor of the upcoming halving, a look at some of Satoshiā€™s most notable quotes.

Also on deck: How Coinbaseā€™s case against the SEC could trigger a future Ripple vs. SEC case at the Supreme Court, Injective Protocolā€™s drive to bring DeFi worldwide, and some big bullish accumulation of BTC during the most recent dip.

Before we dive in, hereā€™s todayā€™s crypto market heatmap: 

And hereā€™s a look at cryptoā€™s total and altcoin market cap YTD:

NEWS
Satoshiā€™s Words From The Past šŸ“œ

With the Bitcoin halving almost here, it's like Satoshi Nakamoto just won't stay quietā€”even in his absence. His cryptic words are making rounds again, sparking a blend of nostalgia. šŸš€

The following are just some of Satoshiā€™s words.

ā€œThe root problem with conventional currency is all the trust thatā€™s required to make it work. The central bank must be trusted not to debase the currency, but the history of fiat currencies is full of breaches of that trust.ā€

ā€œThe nature of Bitcoin is such that once version 0.1 was released, the core design was set in stone for the rest of its lifetime.ā€

ā€œLost coins only make everyone elseā€™s coins worth slightly more. Think of it as a donation to everyone.ā€

ā€œBanks must be trusted to hold our money and transfer it electronically, but they lend it out in waves of credit bubbles with barely a fraction in reserve. We have to trust them with our privacy, trust them not to let identity thieves drain our accounts. Their massive overhead costs make micropayments impossible.ā€

ā€œWriting a description for this thing for general audiences is bloody hard. Thereā€™s nothing to relate it to.ā€

ā€œIt is strictly necessary that the longest chain is always considered the valid one.ā€ 

Satoshiā€™s words and warnings resonate as much today as they did 15 years ago. šŸ•’

ANALYSIS
The Halvening - What Has Happened Before

Reposting this because weā€™re one day away from the halving.

Bitcoinā€™s next halving is less than 10 days away, with the current ETA of April 18, 2024, at 7:22 AM EST. šŸš€

How has Bitcoin behaved during its past halvings? Letā€™s look:

2012

2016

2020

3-months before

-61.09%

+166.47%

-16.54%

30-days after

-1.81%

-11.02%

+8.10%

90-days after

+85.51%

-5.00%

+29.09%

6-months after

+66.39%

+38.17%

+83.26%

12-months after 

+259.97%

+283.49%

+562.18%

Some Key Takeaways

  1. 30 to 90 days post-halving price action appears to be ā€˜mehā€™. Negative to slightly neutral price action seems normal.

  2. Price action is overwhelmingly positive 6 months to 12 months after a halving.

Not to throw a wrench in the cogs of excitement here, but hereā€™s another thing to think about: there have only been three halvings before, and three is hardly a number big enough to determine if something is a trend - so keep that in mind. šŸ§ 

NEWS
Ripple vs. SEC: Supreme Court Showdown? šŸ§‘ā€āš–ļø

The Ripple ($XRP) vs. SEC saga could be heading to the Supreme Court, thanks to a twist in the Coinbase ($COIN) case. šŸ›ļø

The issue is whether the sale of XRP, or the type of sale, is considered a security. Additionally, the SEC had a recent ā€˜winā€™ in early March when Judge Tana Linā€™s ruling upheld the SECā€™s jurisdiction over the case and that some of the cryptocurrencies traded were securities.

But Ripple has dug in for the long haul, ready to battle it until the bitter end. This case isnā€™t just about one token; it's about setting the stage for how crypto dances with U.S. regulators moving forward. Let's see if Ripple's resilience pays off in a legal leap forward. āš–ļø

STOCKTWITS CONTENT
New ā€œTrends With Friendsā€ šŸæ

Stocktwits co-founder Howard Lindzon chops it up with pals JC Parets and Phil Pearlman every Thursday on "Trends With Friends."

Watch the latest on YouTube and Spotify, and subscribe to catch each episode when it goes live!

NEWS
Bridging the Gap: Injective and Jambo Unite to Democratize DeFi šŸŒ‰

Injective ($INJ) and Jambo are teaming up to send DeFi mobile, targeting millions in Africa, Latin America, and Southeast Asia. šŸŒ

Bringing blockchain to the masses, Jamboā€™s $99 smartphone comes preloaded with all the DeFi and gaming goodies you could want. Meanwhile, Injective is throwing its considerable blockchain clout behind the effort, hoping to make DeFi as daily as texting.

Itā€™s one of the most aggressive attempts to bridge the digital divide, promising to plug whole continents into the crypto grid. With backers like Binance and big names like Mark Cuban, they're aiming to make a tangible difference on Earth. šŸŒ

NEWS
Bitcoin Bears Beware: $1.72 Billion Moves to Accumulation Amid Dip šŸ»

Just when you thought the Bitcoin dip was a downer, along comes a bullish twist. Post-crash, a whopping $1.70 billion in Bitcoin found its cozy way into long-term holder addresses. šŸ“‰

Despite Bitcoin's recent price drop, between 28,000 and 29,000 $BTC have flowed into those walletsā€”wallets that havenā€™t moved for years.

As we edge closer to the next Bitcoin halving, this re-accumulation phase could set us up for a lengthy spell of market meandering. History hints we might hover around the $55k to $62k mark for a while. Let's see if this dance around the dip turns into a rebound rally or more sideways shuffling. šŸ”„

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