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- Time Heals All Dumb Entries š
Time Heals All Dumb Entries š
Low and near-zero MVRV-Z scoresr say supply is tight and sellers are bored. Thatās how quiet squeezes start.
OVERVIEW
Time Heals All Dumb Entries š

Before we dive in, hereās todayās crypto market heatmap:
And hereās a look at cryptoās total market and altcoin market cap charts:
NEWS
Hyperliquidās XPL Thunderdome: 200% Pump, $130M OI Nuked, and a Whale Who Cashed Out Fast š§Ø
A single wallet carpet-bombed Hyperliquidās XPL order book and turned a sleepy preālaunch market into a meat grinder for shorts. š¬
The Hit
At not quite the butt crack of dawn tpday, a whale dropped about $16M USDC into Hyperliquid and went long 3x on XPL hard and cleared the book.
Price ripped from roughly 0.58 - 0.61 to about 1.80 in minutes, a 200% spike localized to Hyperliquidās venue.
Open interest cratered from $160M to $30M as shorts were forceāliquidated en masse. One wallet allegedly bagged $16M profit inside a minute and still sat on a 15M XPL long after the smoke. Another trader got autoādeleveraged near the highs and walked away with almost $25M. All of that happened before XPL has even properly launched. šļø
The Wallet Everyone SideāEyed
Onāchain sleuths flagged 0xb9c⦠as the chief instigator.
šØš„ Whale manipulation on #Hyperliquid sent $XPL soaring 200% to $1.80 in minutes earlier today, marking one of the wildest short squeezes and wealth redistributions we've seen!
Hereās the breakdown:
Manipulators' profits:
š¹ 0xb9c (main orchestrator): +$15.11M
š¹ 0xe41:ā Spot On Chain (@spotonchain)
6:25 AM ⢠Aug 27, 2025
The kicker - that wallet has historic links that some say trace back to Justin Sun. Attribution isnāt proven, but the circumstantial trail is thick enough to stink. Also because heās one shady SOB.
Cointelegraph counted four whales netting roughly $47.5M from the mess. One poor soul on the other side posted a $4.5M loss; another admitted to $2.5M gone on a short. Wealth transfer, but make it DeFi. š¤¦
Receipts: Who Got Hit, Who Got Paid
OI nuked: $160M to $30M in minutes - yes, minutes.
Peak print: $1.80 on Hyperliquid only. Other venues didnāt follow. Thatās the definition of venueāspecific engineering.
P&L: lead wallet clipped $16M in under a minute; another bagged $25M via autoādeleveraging. Aggregate whale haul $47.5M.
Retail pain: documented $1.4M, $1M, $2.5M, and $4.5M singleāaccount losses across posts and reports. š«¢
āWorking As Designedā VS āWhereās My Refundā
Hyperliquidās line in prior blowups has been clear: if itās not a protocol failure, itās market risk. During Marchās ETH whale fiasco, they said the HLPās $4M drawdown wasnāt a hack.
When JELLY was gamed days later, validators went full emergency - delisted the perps, forceāsettled, and promised reimbursements. That saved the vault from a $12 - 13.5M hole but triggered the āyouāre not that decentralizedā chorus.
Fastāforward to XPL. At the time of writing todayās Litepaper, thereās no official compensation plan for users who got rekt in a pump that only existed on HLās book.
If youāre thinking ācircuit breakers, position caps, isolated vaultsā - yeah. That list has come up after every HYPE incident since Spring. The critique isnāt new. The lesson isnāt either. š©āš
ON-CHAIN ANALYSIS
Market Balancing On That Awkward Line Between Euphoria And Shrug š¤·
The MVRV ratio compares a coinās market value to its realized value (basically the average cost basis of all coins on-chain). When itās high, holders are in profit and itching to sell; when low, coins are underwater and supply is tight.
The MVRV-Z score tweaks this by normalizing the difference between market cap and realized cap against standard deviation. Translation: it filters out noise and highlights extremes; the āthis thingās about to popā or āthis thingās cookedā zones.
Historically:
Above 3-4: Danger zone, rallies often top out.
Around 1-2: Healthy/neutral, room for upside.
Near 0 or negative: Marketās beaten down, potential accumulation phase.
Letās dive in.
Bitcoin (BTC)
BTCās perched above 2, creeping toward the āoverheatedā range. It signals holders are sitting on chunky unrealized gains, which increases the odds of profit-taking pressure. Doesnāt mean immediate doom, but the risk-reward is skewed short-term bearish unless fresh inflows reset the balance. Historically, BTC rallies lose momentum fast once it lives in this zone for too long.
Ethereum (ETH)
ETH looks balanced - holders are up, but not euphoric. This is the middle lane where breakouts can build without much sell pressure. It leans neutral-to-bullish, especially if paired with solid staking flows or narrative catalysts. The big takeaway: ETHās setup isnāt screaming overvaluation, so upside can grind higher if liquidity conditions stay supportive.
XRP (XRP)
XRP is tiptoeing right below the cliff edge. At 2.8, this is the zone where rallies historically get chopped, because holders are sitting on enough paper profits to justify cashing out. Unless thereās a strong catalyst (court wins, ETF hype, etc.), this profile leans bearish. Think of it as a market primed for disappointment if new buyers hesitate.
Cardano (ADA)
ADAās in no-manās land - holders arenāt underwater, but theyāre not euphoric either. Low scores like this historically reduce sell pressure, since there isnāt much profit to lock in. That makes it mildly bullish, especially if sentiment shifts. ADA tends to sleep in this zone before surprising with sharp moves.
Chainlink (LINK)
LINK is hovering just under 1, which is basically neutral. Holders are only slightly in the green, meaning thereās little urgency to dump. That opens room for upside if broader alt sentiment strengthens. In plain terms: LINK isnāt stretched, so itās one of the safer bullish setups in this bunch.
Narrative Summary
Bearish tilt: BTC, XRP (profit-taking risk high).
Neutral-to-slightly bullish: ETH, LINK (healthy middle ground).
Quietly bullish: ADA (low-pressure setup, accumulation vibes).
NEWS IN THREE SENTENCES
AI, Stablecoins, & Privacy News šµļø
š¤ CIMG Signs MoU With FLock For Privacy AI And Token Treasury
The Chinese coffee-turned-consumer group wants FLockās privacy-preserving AI to power āLifeNode,ā a health monitoring platform. Theyāre also eyeing FLOCK tokens as a treasury reserve, tying wellness recs to blockchain rails. Itās half Web3 wellness app, half corporate bet that coffee money belongs in crypto treasuries. FLoCK.io.
NEWS IN THREE SENTENCES
Real World Asset Tokenization (RWA) News šŖ
š¦ Tokenizationās Not All Hype - Stablecoins Prove It
Wall Street execs can chant āRWAsā all they want, but the only tokenization with actual traction is stablecoins at $260B market cap. Theyāre programmable dollars that move 24/7, save people in inflating economies, and now back money-market funds like BlackRockās BUIDL and VanEckās VBILL. Avalanche.
š Plume Says RWA Looping Works, If You Donāt Cheat The Math
āLoopingā in DeFi is just borrowing against your deposit, redepositing, and repeating until your yield looks juiced. But RWA yields of 5% canāt support debt at 8%, which is like borrowing money at 10% interest to stick it in a 5% savings account - youāre underwater before you start. Plume claims its Nest vaults fix this by using RWAs with real liquidity and pricing that update often enough to actually make looping profitable. Plume Network.
NEWS IN THREE SENTENCES
Metaverse, NFT, & Gaming News š®ļø
š Axie Infinity Proposes A Constitution, Because Apparently Itās A Country Now
AIP-002 would formalize governance over the multi-million AXS treasury with rules for citizenship, voting, and councils. On Sept 1, players will decide if their pet-battling nation graduates into a constitutional DAO. So, a sort US Constitution but less pages and more emojis. Axie Infinity.
š¶ļø Decentraland Scams Rely On Copycats, Not Hackers
Most attacks donāt crack wallets; they just trick you with usernames like āLunoB0yā instead of āLunoBoyā or links that look one letter off. Itās the playground trick of swapping your friendās lunchbox with a near-identical one and waiting for them to notice. The rule is simple: pause, double-check, and never type your seed phrase into a site that looks like it was made in five minutes. Decentraland.
NEWS IN THREE SENTENCES
DeFi, DEX, & Lending News š¦
š 1inch Swap API Powers DeFi Saverās āSuper-Appā Automations
DeFi Saver plugged 1inchās API into its automation tools so users can boost or repay loans, shift collateral, or swap tokens at the best available rate. Think of it like hiring a travel agent who calls all the airlines at once, books the cheapest ticket, and handles your bags. $1.1B in volume later, the combo shows why routing swaps through 1inch is the difference between DeFi feeling slick and DeFi feeling like homework. 1inch.
š Arweave Sees 2021 Flashback In Trade Volume Spike
If this is just noise or the start of something bigger, weāll find out fast. AR just posted its highest daily volume since the last bull cycle peak this week. Translation: the chain that swears by permanent storage is suddenly trading like itās 2021 again. Arweave.
š Hyperliquid Hits $3.4B Spot Volume, Now #2 For BTC
Driven by BTC and ETH inflows, Hyperliquid logged $1.5B in BTC spot volume in a single day, second only to Binance. The DEX-turned-hybrid venue is quietly outpacing most CEXs in liquidity. If you thought perpetuals were its whole identity, the spot market says otherwise. Hyperliquid.
LINKS
Links That Donāt Suck š
šØāšØāš§āš¦ The Sims remade in Unreal Engine 5 is everything I didnāt know I needed
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Author Disclosure: The author of this newsletter holds positions in ADA, IMX, COPI, MIN, AGIX, ALGO, ZEC, XLM, and NEAR. š
